Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000182 0.000202 0.000224 0.000249 0.000277 0.000308 0.000344
2025-03-09 0.000144 0.000172 0.000206 0.000248 0.000300 0.000363 0.000444
2025-03-16 0.000116 0.000147 0.000186 0.000237 0.000306 0.000395 0.000519
2025-03-23 0.000102 0.000135 0.000178 0.000239 0.000324 0.000442 0.000618
2025-03-30 0.000094 0.000129 0.000176 0.000247 0.000352 0.000504 0.000746
2025-04-06 0.000083 0.000117 0.000166 0.000242 0.000358 0.000535 0.000831
2025-04-13 0.000072 0.000105 0.000153 0.000230 0.000352 0.000546 0.000885
2025-04-20 0.000067 0.000100 0.000149 0.000231 0.000366 0.000589 0.000998
2025-04-27 0.000063 0.000097 0.000148 0.000236 0.000388 0.000647 0.001144
2025-05-04 0.000058 0.000091 0.000143 0.000234 0.000396 0.000682 0.001255
2025-05-11 0.000055 0.000087 0.000140 0.000236 0.000410 0.000730 0.001397
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000083 0.000136 0.000233 0.000417 0.000765 0.001518
2025-05-25 0.000048 0.000079 0.000133 0.000234 0.000431 0.000817 0.001688
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000076 0.000129 0.000233 0.000442 0.000865 0.001860
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000070 0.000121 0.000224 0.000434 0.000873 0.001943
2025-06-15 0.000038 0.000067 0.000119 0.000225 0.000448 0.000930 0.002156
2025-06-22 0.000037 0.000066 0.000120 0.000233 0.000478 0.001026 0.002482
2025-06-29 0.000035 0.000063 0.000115 0.000228 0.000478 0.001056 0.002644
2025-07-06 0.000032 0.000058 0.000108 0.000216 0.000463 0.001046 0.002699
2025-07-13 0.000030 0.000056 0.000106 0.000217 0.000477 0.001108 0.002966
2025-07-20 0.000029 0.000055 0.000107 0.000223 0.000501 0.001199 0.003341
2025-07-27 0.000028 0.000053 0.000104 0.000221 0.000507 0.001246 0.003593
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000052 0.000102 0.000222 0.000522 0.001319 0.003944